Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $103.33K
- Potential profit
- $103.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$76.98
Polymarket Trader
0x04388D9967802d6b9e2a065C70300f457f8Ca06B-1771271856286
0x04388d9967802d6b9e2a065c70300f457f8ca06b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $879.84
- Realized PnL
- $579
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $636.2
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $76.77
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$18.8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$139.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $60.55
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$60.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$137.11
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681.94
- Potential profit
- $681.94
- User PnL
- -$137
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.02
- Potential profit
- $488.02
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $453.16
- Potential profit
- $453.16
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $28.09
- Potential payout
- $416.17
- Potential profit
- $388.07
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.85
- Potential profit
- $355.85
- User PnL
- -$49.82
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $345
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.09
- Potential profit
- $240.09
- User PnL
- -$120
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.86
- Potential profit
- $192.86
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.95
- Potential profit
- $117.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.27
- Potential profit
- $99.27
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.26
- Potential profit
- $90.26
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.57
- Potential profit
- $78.57
- User PnL
- -$41.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.89
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- $77.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $49.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $9.44
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$174.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 2,320.35 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 100,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 56.8% 1,231.57 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 9% 1,345.67 shares
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.4% 10,256.39 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 2% 4,470.59 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 1,570.84 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,820 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 1.5% 1,152.68 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 433.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp 51% 91.73 shares