Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.31
Polymarket Trader
billyliu001
0x043ff7b81f67a745a2488429057b10697994d9e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.55
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$146
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $734
- Potential profit
- $732.53
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.54
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $52.15
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $647.85
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $582
- Potential profit
- $568.03
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $543.63
- Potential profit
- $522.7
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $22.39
- Potential payout
- $344.48
- Potential profit
- $322.09
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $288.9
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $28.51
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $10.28
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.01
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $126.53
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.14
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $93.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.31
Yes position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.94
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $29.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.06
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $26.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $12.6
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsPaper Rex 77% 590 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 99.9% 559.22 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 63% 158.44 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 63% 133.59 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 64% 234.38 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 21% 909.09 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 64% 300 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 13% 923.08 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 476.19 shares