Polymarket Trader

5ShareMan

0x0451a0c1e5202868d4c1592b08a2423ef882de03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.73
Realized PnL: $13.49
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by June 30?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69.1%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will there be 1+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Elise Mertens position

Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Laura Siegemund

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Miami Marlins position

Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0

Miami Marlins position

Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?

No 96% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in July?

Yes 95% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

No 97.4% 5 shares
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 96.5% 5 shares
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?

No 97% 5 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Laura Siegemund

Elise Mertens 95% 5 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris

Karen Khachanov 97.9% 5 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs

Zizou Bergs 93% 5 shares
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)

Miami Marlins 99% 5.01 shares
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)

Miami Marlins 99% 5.01 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

No 99.4% 5 shares