Polymarket Trader

indohouse

0x045b50e130975b23b7ae49b12f52b7c543c64e09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.11
Realized PnL: $34.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $11.44
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $9.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

ECB rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 33.2% 3.01 shares
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

No 76% 2.63 shares
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Yes 17.5% 11.44 shares
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares