No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $136.53
- Potential payout
- $146.02
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Polymarket Trader
ALastS
0x045dc9c5e3875fad8ec146b11f41740238deb281
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $531.59
- Realized PnL
- $168.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $22.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.35
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $60.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.85
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $89.33
- Potential payout
- $95.54
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $68.1
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $45.36
- Potential payout
- $48.26
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $31.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $12.16
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $22.84
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.57
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $29.07
- Multiplier
- 5.90x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.81
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.99
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $16.75
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.84
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.68
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Trump say “MAGA" or "Make America Great Again” this week? (November 10 - 16)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99% 10 shares
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 95% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?No 93.7% 5.34 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 10.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 23?No 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 20?No 98.4% 10.16 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 16.73 shares
- Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 10.36 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10?No 98% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?No 97.6% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 6?No 98.8% 5.06 shares