Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $121.86
- Potential payout
- $81.24K
- Potential profit
- $81.12K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.62
Polymarket Trader
dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider
0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.21K
- Realized PnL
- $83.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $849.72
- Potential payout
- $37.77K
- Potential profit
- $36.92K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$74.4
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.75K
- Potential profit
- $25.75K
- User PnL
- -$433.45
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.56K
- Potential profit
- $20.56K
- User PnL
- -$389.68
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.6K
- Potential payout
- $19.53K
- Potential profit
- $15.93K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$498.07
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.34K
- Potential profit
- $16.34K
- User PnL
- -$193.39
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $691.87
- Potential payout
- $15.37K
- Potential profit
- $14.68K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$594.3
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $135.03
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.87K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$244.26
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $14.59K
- Potential profit
- $12.62K
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$430.07
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21K
- Potential profit
- $12.21K
- User PnL
- -$783.28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.13K
- Potential profit
- $11.13K
- User PnL
- -$686.72
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.58K
- Potential payout
- $10.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$80.47
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.05K
- Potential profit
- $8.05K
- User PnL
- -$503.82
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.97K
- User PnL
- -$749.69
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- User PnL
- -$346.4
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$485.24
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.62K
- User PnL
- -$530.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$95.52
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $779.72
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$709.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $6.32K
- User PnL
- -$671.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $462.17
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$337.87
Yes position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- User PnL
- -$217.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $14.51K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.71K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes 3.1% 1,525.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 37% 1,058.8 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 38.8% 1,292.16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 11.7% 910.38 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8.4% 347.38 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.9% 4,690.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.1% 447.07 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 7,525.69 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54.3% 1,123.7 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 15,000 shares