Polymarket Trader

0x0483df9DbD36f83d41297D9022b034158A700b04-1773127693096

0x0483df9dbd36f83d41297d9022b034158a700b04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.31
Realized PnL: $225.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $14.27
Potential payout: $23.58
Potential profit: $9.31
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $15.27
Potential profit: $6.34
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

No position

Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between March 1 and March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

No position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

X Money released by April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will Russia enter Svitle by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 80% 6.08 shares
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?

No 38% 7.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

No 42.5% 3.04 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Under 22.5% 4.44 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 46% 2.17 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

No 48% 3.75 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

No 28% 6.75 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

No 41% 3.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 65.4% 7.57 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 3.05 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Under 32% 3.13 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

No 69% 2.84 shares