Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $105.99
- Potential payout
- $30.28K
- Potential profit
- $30.18K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$196.08
Polymarket Trader
SatoshiAlien12
0x048b047a33755fb13b8440ba51d1d998b0fc0796
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.48K
- Realized PnL
- $273.29
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$195.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $717.47
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $181.51
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$273.61
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770.37
- Potential profit
- $770.37
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $583.1
- Potential profit
- $583.1
- User PnL
- -$67.35
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $216.07
- Potential payout
- $547
- Potential profit
- $330.94
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $16.06
No position
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $36.2
- Potential payout
- $482.72
- Potential profit
- $446.52
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$49.23
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385
- Potential profit
- $385
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.64
- Potential profit
- $341.64
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Yes position
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $26.3
- Potential payout
- $339.4
- Potential profit
- $313.1
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$33.68
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.45
- Potential profit
- $165.45
- User PnL
- -$91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.48
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.35
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.79
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $30.1
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.77
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$277.92
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$731.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 55% 295.78 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57% 122.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36.6% 1,093.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 65% 266.15 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62.4% 320.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 71.5% 559.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 19.4% 3,122.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 32% 15 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 30% 541.3 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 29% 92.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 28% 225 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 60.8% 190 shares