Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $140.8
- Potential payout
- $14.82K
- Potential profit
- $14.68K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$81.5
Polymarket Trader
mesmeralda
0x048e1800ece3074534e904a5c0ef153968606e41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.01K
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $649.77
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.95K
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- $381.82
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $880.41
- Potential profit
- $878.21
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.8
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $213.8
- Potential payout
- $541.27
- Potential profit
- $327.47
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $13.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.65
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.94
Yes position
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.03
No position
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.06
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.41
Yes position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.29
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.85
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
Yes position
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes 3.8% 413.2 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 1.4% 313.89 shares
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 1,071.23 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 25.3% 313.89 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 12% 661 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 23% 187.13 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 8.8% 489.41 shares
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 18.6% 1,071.23 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.1% 4,858.8 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.2% 5,352.62 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 24% 473.88 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 23.2% 489.42 shares