Polymarket Trader

goingsocial

0x04902c7046da0f93f29d070b00f9366a165ac81f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.01K
Realized PnL: $203.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $54.75K
Potential profit: $50.78K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$537.22

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.39
Potential payout: $46.78K
Potential profit: $46.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.58K

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $17.02K
Potential profit: $17.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.89K

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $15.27K
Potential profit: $15.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$662.4

No position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $8.3K
Potential payout: $8.65K
Potential profit: $341.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.43K

No position

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.16K
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $763.59
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $268.81

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $122.7
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.42K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$405.47

Yes position

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $23.66
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$273.22

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $186.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$188.66

No position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $74.49
Potential payout: $127.33
Potential profit: $52.84
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $35.02

No position

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.46K

No position

Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?

Ends Jun 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84K

No position

Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.72K

Yes position

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55K

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09K

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09K

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78K

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33K

No position

Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.19K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06K

Yes position

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

No position

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

Yes position

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.91K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.18K

No position

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.66K

Yes position

Will Trump announce his VP pick in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11K

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out by Monday?

Ends Jul 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.74K

Yes position

Will Jeffrey Randall Allen (Player 831) win the Beast Games?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 99.9% 1,347.74 shares
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 98.7% 115 shares
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 1% 45 shares
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 0.1% 165 shares
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 23% 208.1 shares
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 20.8% 62.54 shares
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 21.5% 463.33 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 68.6% 3,100.76 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 47% 2,064.71 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 62.3% 3,100.76 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 48.8% 4,935.29 shares
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 12% 3,895 shares