Polymarket Trader

lolcar

0x04a0b8a0ff8ddd7358ef3d465ac238ab74b6a385

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.15
Realized PnL: $9.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Boy position

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the January unemployment rate be 4.3% or higher?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $425 - 430b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 97.6% 1.02 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 88% 1.08 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 90% 2.81 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 92% 1.09 shares
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.3% 2.08 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 71% 2.82 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 96.8% 4.06 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Yes 0.2% 26.31 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 73.7% 4.07 shares