Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $205.77
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $903.48
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Polymarket Trader
0x04a8...fde8
0x04a8bc75948f6cb04a520cb405b03c58c4ccfde8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $278.49
- Realized PnL
- $214.21
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
BNB Up or Down - July 10, 6AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $72.73
- Potential payout
- $134.68
- Potential profit
- $61.95
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.7
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$28.99
Yes position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$32.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.6% 1,109.25 shares
- BNB Up or Down - July 10, 6AM ETDown 53.3% 134.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp 12.2% 654.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5AM ETDown 4% 249.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 34% 382.88 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports 99.9% 137.92 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports 18% 137.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.9% 703.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 703.88 shares
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes 7.9% 797.41 shares
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes 12% 382.92 shares
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes 12% 414.5 shares