Polymarket Trader

ChubbyGooseLearningCenter

0x04b0915f2edb018644b28dc0d3e21ca2089a000d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.36
Realized PnL: $45.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701.12
Potential profit: $701.12
User PnL: -$81.12

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.45
Potential profit: $580.45
User PnL: -$125.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $298.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $178.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $143
User PnL: -$68.64

Yes position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $128.14
Potential profit: $121.28
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.45
Potential profit: $25.45
User PnL: -$2.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Hunter Hess (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.59K

Yes position

Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.89K

Yes position

Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

Will Gus Kenworthy (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13K

Yes position

Ethereum above $4200 on August 20?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

No position

Will Henry Sildaru (EST) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Henry Sildaru (EST) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $800

No position

Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605

Yes position

Will Dylan Marineau (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $562.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.21

No position

Will Hunter Hess (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.44

Yes position

Will Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $432.4

No position

Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.05

Yes position

Will Luke Harrold (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384.5

No position

Will Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.9

No position

Will Gus Kenworthy (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.19

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $325.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.01

No position

Will Luke Harrold (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 42.2% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 48% 143 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 34.1% 200 shares
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Yes 6.8% 3.97 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?

No 21.3% 241 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Down 7% 14.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Down 15% 10.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 44% 254.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Down 53.9% 116.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Up 49% 7.47 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 955.02 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

No 81% 0.53 shares