Polymarket Trader

254321758

0x04b1e3aff4fed7a6868757761db7486ddb6cd224

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.45K
Realized PnL: $81.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.24K
Potential profit: $27.24K
User PnL: -$272.39

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.3K

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.28K
Potential profit: $7.28K
User PnL: -$3.84K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$4.25K

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.36K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $15.4

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.36K
User PnL: -$3.31K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$893.41

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $172.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $49.5

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $530
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $530
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $101.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $898.5
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $944.5
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Will T1 win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $705
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $295
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $954.5
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$5.5

Kaufland Hangry Knights position

LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $40.7
User PnL: -$4.82

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.33
Potential profit: $35.33
User PnL: -$5.3

ROSSMANN Centaurs position

LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.15
Potential profit: $34.15
User PnL: -$6.49

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.8

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$2.58

Karmine Corp position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03K

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69K

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

Gen.G position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

LGD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86K

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.64K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.51K

T1 position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Ultra Prime position

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Team Heretics position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

KT Rolster position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

T1 position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 47% 4,255.32 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 1,000 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 95.1% 2,560.16 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 72.8% 2,786.56 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 70% 2,375.96 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 47.9% 2,220 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 40.7% 2,216.53 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Gen.G 62% 860 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Gen.G 53% 130 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Gen.G 54.3% 959.18 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Gen.G 39% 347.69 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Gen.G 41.6% 10,096.45 shares