Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $164.5
- Potential payout
- $185.45
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $144.5
Polymarket Trader
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $503.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $180.81
- Potential profit
- $177.83
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$12.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $44.36
- Potential payout
- $145.45
- Potential profit
- $101.09
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $29.36
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $113.01
- Potential profit
- $103.63
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $108.33
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.22
No position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $102.91
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $99.61
- Potential profit
- $90.25
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $15.55
- Potential payout
- $99.34
- Potential profit
- $83.79
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $77.81
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.32
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.41
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.41
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $90.11
- Potential profit
- $76.14
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $75.01
- Potential profit
- $73.28
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $74.43
- Potential profit
- $59.51
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $61.79
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $29.52
- Potential payout
- $68.66
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $12.19
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $50.31
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $45.69
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $28.56
- Potential payout
- $57.7
- Potential profit
- $29.14
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $13.56
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $44.71
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $49.18
- Potential payout
- $54.04
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $36.11
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $27.24
- Potential payout
- $53.94
- Potential profit
- $26.7
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $52.67
- Potential profit
- $45.82
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.15
No position
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.8
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.11
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.55
SK Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.41
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.77
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
paiN Gaming Academy position
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.49
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 67.6% 14.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?No 34% 11.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?No 76% 26.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?Yes 60% 8 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?No 84% 8.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 37% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 58% 25.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?No 68.5% 19.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?Yes 10.3% 145.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 18?Yes 24% 10.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?Yes 24.2% 62.04 shares