Polymarket Trader

0x04bE4C2EF35bCB4AEa0e7CC9F21B917F98D69925-1772870236926

0x04be4c2ef35bcb4aea0e7cc9f21b917f98d69925

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $392.76
Realized PnL: $446.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $977.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.42
Potential profit: $580.42
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.35
Potential profit: $419.35
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $34.55
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $329.09
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.88
Potential profit: $270.88
User PnL: -$29.92

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $33.46
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $197.31
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.37
Potential profit: $132.37
User PnL: -$29.77

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $111.11
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $61.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $36.01
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $16.01

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $95.24
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $55.24

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $59.9
Potential payout: $75.34
Potential profit: $15.45
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.34
Potential profit: $34.34
User PnL: -$10.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.31

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 11% 363.64 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 230.77 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 45% 111.11 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 42% 95.24 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 73% 75.34 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 101.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 419.35 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 40% 623.85 shares