Polymarket Trader

Red781RuM

@Red781RuM

0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.76K
Realized PnL: $67.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $14.13K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $8.88K
Potential payout: $12.43K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $142.32

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$192.02

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $307.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.81

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $18.79
User PnL: $642.02

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $11.25
User PnL: $555.56

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $861.9
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $48.14

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $531.82
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $40.86

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $210

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $309
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: $257

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $40.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $183.96

No position

Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $236.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $349.75

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $247.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $127.5

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $172.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$217.5

No position

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $247.22
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$10.16

No position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $193.42
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $45.03

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$825

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $525
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$317.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $233.2

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $222.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $77.03
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $950
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$420

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42K

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Labor Party position

Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.66

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

No 67% 60 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

No 66% 62.58 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

No 41% 5 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 58% 61.72 shares
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

No 83% 13 shares
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes 9% 95 shares
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

No 81% 279.6 shares
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes 12% 272.06 shares
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

No 81% 300 shares
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes 11% 57.19 shares
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?

Yes 49% 3 shares
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

No 88% 5.66 shares