Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $100.35
- Potential payout
- $360.99
- Potential profit
- $260.63
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$129.65
Polymarket Trader
0x04E35aaE15C0bf12684d7605AfD5bD0eD9c3eF1E-1767965593717
0x04e35aae15c0bf12684d7605afd5bd0ed9c3ef1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.27
- Realized PnL
- $484.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $94.89
- Potential profit
- $88.72
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$53.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $78.13
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.99
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.65
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 42.5% 58.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 32% 78.13 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes 81.6% 244.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.9% 300 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?Yes 6.5% 30 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 170 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 170 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 100 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 51% 100 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 6.1% 100 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 44.4% 45.05 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes 51.5% 68 shares