Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.04
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.04
Polymarket Trader
tmyk
0x04e87ce7ae7fb0f0d1bc7209fbaf7bc1f637a0bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $395.22
- Realized PnL
- $10.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $24.95
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $9.95K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.95
Yes position
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.87K
- Potential profit
- $8.87K
- User PnL
- -$17.73
Yes position
Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- User PnL
- -$51.61
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Yes position
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$54.89
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$839.98
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $88.2
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $187.78
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $77.32
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$89.29
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$12
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $957.5
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Korea win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$310
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Paul Mescal win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $999.95
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $794
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.81
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.36
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.9
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.75
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.15
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.18
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.98
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.6
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.5
Jaguars position
Jaguars vs. Colts
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Under 4.5 position
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.49
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.76
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.11
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.84
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 24% 400 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.4% 3,500 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 48.6% 302.76 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 0.2% 5,629.92 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 2.5% 2,800 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 35.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 95.7% 5,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No 99.2% 520 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No 92.2% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 88% 2,030 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No 98.4% 6,220 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No 98.3% 1,640 shares