No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.58
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Polymarket Trader
407-69
0x04f30576c3fc8689bf08923625755321636b505a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.58
- Realized PnL
- -$3.8
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 220 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 220 shares
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 190 shares
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 190 shares
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 160 shares
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 160 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 180 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 180 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 180 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 180 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 190 shares
- Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 220 shares