Polymarket Trader

0x04f5bC449C432a1a3F7e968234173d42f19871E9-1768226209087

0x04f5bc449c432a1a3f7e968234173d42f19871e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.25
Realized PnL: $863.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Namibia position

T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1)

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.38K
User PnL: -$20.74

Pakistan position

T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $753.6
Potential profit: $753.6
User PnL: -$16.34

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$6.1

Netherlands position

T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $596.77
Potential profit: $596.77
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.49
Potential profit: $568.49
User PnL: -$17.44

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $493.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.25

India position

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.85
Potential profit: $416.85
User PnL: -$4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.66
Potential profit: $344.66
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.89
Potential profit: $316.89
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.5
Potential profit: $240.5
User PnL: -$12.02

Dragon Ranger Gaming position

Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 1 Group 3

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.96
Potential profit: $203.96
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$2.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.71
Potential profit: $142.71
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.7

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.8

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.13

New Zealand position

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.27

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.68

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Up 28% 3.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 38.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 4.1% 37.73 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 5.3% 37.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 25% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Down 19% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 94% 6.02 shares