No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Polymarket Trader
LineEditor
0x04f6dab1a3d35fc9ad828536cd0f493013fd311a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $820.04
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.43
- Potential profit
- $526.43
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $183.72
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $281.4
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Current value
- $319.22
- Potential payout
- $364.61
- Potential profit
- $45.39
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.62
- Potential profit
- $282.62
- User PnL
- -$55
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $106.01
- Potential payout
- $252.41
- Potential profit
- $146.4
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$43.99
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $230.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $189.61
- Potential payout
- $193.48
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.94
- Potential profit
- $185.94
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.16
- Potential profit
- $162.16
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.71
- Potential profit
- $134.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $131.75
- Potential profit
- $130.31
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$18.55
No position
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.95
- Potential profit
- $130.95
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.37
- Potential profit
- $129.37
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $8.32
- Potential payout
- $121.45
- Potential profit
- $113.13
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $120.22
- Potential profit
- $113.25
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $115.26
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.55
No position
Will Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.69
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.01
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.64
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.87
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.71
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.38
Yes position
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.57
N
No position
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.88
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.35
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.44
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.56
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.04
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.9
No position
Will BlackRock say "Stablecoin" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1
No position
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.63
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.15
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.33
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.13
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.76
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 59.4% 252.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.3% 223.88 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 70.1% 34.14 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 11% 97.56 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 82% 34.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?No 82.8% 26.57 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 41% 97.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 22% 113.64 shares
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?Yes 60.5% 24.81 shares
- Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?No 93.1% 32.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 24% 204.08 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 92% 38.59 shares