Polymarket Trader

degenK

0x04f78d83e0d0ed741bd75eaae2a394bb97e500f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.99
Realized PnL: $568.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $50.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$11.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $340.01
Potential profit: $334.06
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.01
Potential profit: $250.01
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $199
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.2
Potential profit: $186.2
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.74

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.36

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 129.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 1.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 1% 170 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 34% 20.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 25% 221.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 34.8% 65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 20% 193.8 shares