Polymarket Trader

0x04Ff798d8be4e9F695836965703fA5be2BBed465-1768891391119

0x04ff798d8be4e9f695836965703fa5be2bbed465

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.82
Realized PnL: $321.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $916.55
Potential profit: $916.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $111.25
Potential profit: $108.36
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.94
Potential profit: $63.94
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.56
Potential profit: $48.56
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $43.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $37.59
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.76
Potential profit: $36.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.6
Potential profit: $34.6
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.95
Potential profit: $31.95
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.21
Potential profit: $20.21
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $12.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $9.12
User PnL: -$4.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 8% 111.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 36.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 13.3% 37.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 43.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 5% 119.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 4% 115.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 107.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 89.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 56% 13.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 53% 13.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 52% 8.79 shares