No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.43
Polymarket Trader
MidiMinuit
0x050259ffa579ea18bcdb8a768c13ef37cd6654c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.54K
- Realized PnL
- $2.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $492.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $384.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.09
- Potential payout
- $28.11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Saint Louis Billikens position
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $369.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.37
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.93
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.93
No position
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.38
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.24
High Point Panthers position
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.49
No position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.53
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.1
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.27
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.34
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.32
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.8% 1,742.71 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.1% 2,366.85 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 172.52 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.6% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 978.89 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 858.62 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 96.7% 5.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 86.4% 400 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 870 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 96.3% 81.59 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 512.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 65.6% 300 shares