No position
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $49.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Polymarket Trader
glavnayamraz
0x050931c34e12a870536f047e5716090b33924ed7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.35
- Realized PnL
- $6.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $47.85
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $48.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $48.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 96.3% 20 shares