Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $12.23
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Polymarket Trader
aliciaqueen
@Alicia1370678
0x050bedca9d49d3d68a7981805bef4d8264519496
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.12
- Realized PnL
- $5.55
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.49
- Potential payout
- $8.98
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 1AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?87.7% 1.13 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 3.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?Yes 34% 3.09 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 42.3% 5.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 81% 1.46 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 83.7% 3.56 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 87.5% 2.42 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 95.1% 1.17 shares
- Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 88% 1.12 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 91% 1.15 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 62.8% 1.4 shares