Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $17.46
- Potential payout
- $105.82
- Potential profit
- $88.36
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$32.95
Polymarket Trader
nz1t68p9dv8n
0x051cf1d110d8c1cf39a7b6c90ec9fec9b49dc264
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.66
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $14.2
- Potential payout
- $15.43
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?No 80% 15.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?Yes 47% 48.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?Yes 50% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?No 44.9% 37.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?No 47.8% 13.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?No 55% 51.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?Yes 49% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?Yes 46% 20 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 30% 91.98 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 32.4% 91.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 8.3% 29.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown 91% 2.15 shares