bestofcryptos1

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.12
Potential payout: $949.03
Potential profit: $941.92
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $295.65
Potential profit: $293.73
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $276.22
Potential profit: $274.14
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $248.32
Potential profit: $246.46
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $210.3
Potential profit: $208.73
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $196.59
Potential profit: $194.72
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $149.8
Potential profit: $148.98
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $110.93
Potential profit: $110.1
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $101.29
Potential profit: $99.92
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $100.12
Potential profit: $99.27
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $9.46
Potential payout: $67.58
Potential profit: $58.12
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $61.65
Potential profit: $61.12
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $53.16
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.33
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $37.82
Potential profit: $37.54
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $34.69
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $32.46
Potential profit: $31.13
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $29.86
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $6.86
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $21.13
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $26.95
Potential profit: $16.72
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.43
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.3

Yes position

Will Bangladesh win?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.84

No position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.04

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.34

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.54

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.76

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET