0x0524023958973E608aF9fd0c753c409Bd9421479-1756619843218

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $202.4
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $17.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $181.93
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $8.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.26

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $154.73
Potential payout: $180.98
Potential profit: $26.24
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $8.73

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $174.07
Potential payout: $180.01
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.66

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $173.25
Potential payout: $175.8
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $174.38
Potential payout: $174.99
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $9.59

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $100.68
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $66.96
Potential payout: $101.45
Potential profit: $34.49
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$3.04

The World position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs Aterion Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$4.83

Aterion Esports position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs Aterion Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $64.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$15.47

Aterion Esports position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs Aterion Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Close Qualifiers

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $72.08
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$2.83

Mentality Monster position

Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $74.96
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.04

The World position

Game Handicap: Aterion Esports (-1.5) vs The World (+1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 50.1%
Current value: $37.58
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $37.43
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$37.33

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $70.01
Potential profit: $59.15
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $59.06
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $59.79
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $47.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$3.3

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $50.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $58.77
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.97

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $59.66
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $2.07

EDward Gaming position

Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs My Queen (+1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $54.7
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $54.7

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $54.92
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.56

Team Vasilisa position

Dota 2: Team Vasilisa vs Team 9pasha (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.16

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.65

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.08

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.05

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET