Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
afroapple
0x0527ce71bc153f20363a6e3ae1c39e5d32c8505f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.84
- Realized PnL
- -$0.43
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.38
- Potential profit
- $137.38
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.89
- Potential profit
- $51.89
- User PnL
- -$33.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $22.57
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 8% 137.38 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes 64% 13.39 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes 1.2% 714.75 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes 64% 38.5 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 91% 10.99 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes 1.4% 714.76 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 8% 312.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes 14% 71.43 shares