No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $585
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$85
Polymarket Trader
evasosovun
0x0528d63f85d2364474d0090b91918535d686ca3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35K
- Realized PnL
- $27.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $585
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $415
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $319.45
- Potential payout
- $709.89
- Potential profit
- $390.44
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Y
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $27.06
- Potential payout
- $39.51
- Potential profit
- $12.45
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $963.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $939.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $918.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $879.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $868.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $852.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $816.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $792.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $788.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $784.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $783.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $783.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $779.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 76% 100 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes 45.9% 709.89 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 75% 20 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 76% 90 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 76% 310 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 78.6% 70 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 68.1% 549.51 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 67% 20 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 77.3% 20 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 75% 58 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 73% 20 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?No 32% 20 shares