Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Polymarket Trader
Lucky-Conqueror
0x05297974e034b053268edfb9e63a2ea1c12e092e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.47K
- Realized PnL
- $8.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$125
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $33.64
- Potential payout
- $310.08
- Potential profit
- $276.43
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $41.84
- Potential payout
- $216.22
- Potential profit
- $174.38
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.27
- Potential profit
- $37.27
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.29
- Potential profit
- $33.29
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- User PnL
- -$11.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.93
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.96
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.98
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.65
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 310.08 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 216.22 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.1% 1,992.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4% 1,992.43 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 19.6% 5,112.25 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 0.2% 733.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes 3.6% 744.79 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 12.6% 701.2 shares