Polymarket Trader

mwalde

0x053f95d7ac88e48b06f609a41f561b5ec4822c20

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.94
Realized PnL: $109.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Texas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.36
Potential profit: $101.36
User PnL: -$92.78

Yes position

Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $94
User PnL: -$79.9

Yes position

Will "Policy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.36
Potential profit: $58.36
User PnL: -$52.36

Yes position

Will "UFC" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.36
Potential profit: $58.36
User PnL: -$52.36

Yes position

Will "Hormuz" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.36
Potential profit: $58.36
User PnL: -$52.36

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $47.74
Potential profit: $36.28
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$22.67

No position

Will "Guitar" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $8.65
User PnL: -$7.79

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.59
Potential profit: $8.59
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.72

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

No position

Will "Cookie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

No position

Will "Table" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will "People" be said 111+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will "Table" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will "Elephant" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will "Shit" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will "Left" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will "Laptop" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will "Disease" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will "Hegemony" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?

Yes 71.5% 47.74 shares
Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 8% 111.66 shares
Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 89% 100 shares
Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 86.8% 111.66 shares
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 66.8% 40.22 shares
Will "California" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 70% 33.33 shares
Will "Hormuz" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 89.7% 58.36 shares
Will "Texas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 91.5% 101.36 shares
Will "Policy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 89.7% 58.36 shares
Will "Weather" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 90.2% 66.36 shares
Will "UFC" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 89.7% 58.36 shares
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Yes 47% 5.35 shares