Polymarket Trader

zhuandaqqan

0x0557277f61dc588824c1b5c8491a1f9919430a3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.56K
Realized PnL: $928.8
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$731.94

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $56.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $943.5
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$73.5

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $273
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $248
User PnL: -$74.4

PSG Talon position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.86
Potential profit: $247.86
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$154

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.33
Potential profit: $153.33
User PnL: -$38.33

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.17

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $283.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.44

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.93

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.24

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.71

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.38

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 99.8% 800 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 200 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 15% 499.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 31% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 31% 250 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 53% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 60% 300 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

No 89% 293.76 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 9% 1,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 19% 500 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

No 48% 293.76 shares