0xe4d539AF8B305deca15728f004667325D3117538-1763231239193

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $6.88
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $4.05
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $3.9
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Allan Nascimento position

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Michael Aswell position

UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Manel Kape position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Christian Rodriguez position

UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Vinicius Oliveira position

UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Navajo Stirling position

UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET