No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $73.42K
- Potential payout
- $78.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Polymarket Trader
0x0573b1fc54B4acB659f4403442BE6Fdf34b45f76-1758131188649
0x0573b1fc54b4acb659f4403442be6fdf34b45f76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.42K
- Realized PnL
- $63.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$48.75K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28K
- Potential profit
- $28K
- User PnL
- -$22.65K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.11K
- Potential profit
- $9.11K
- User PnL
- -$4.43K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.32K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.88
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97.4% 3,266 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 88% 71,413.34 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 90.3% 7,236.51 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 36.9% 17,209.89 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 80.9% 28,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 96.2% 30,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 139,937.8 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 94.1% 2,214.48 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 94.2% 6,317.02 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 94.1% 11,488.76 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 8,039.21 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 93.9% 15,042.17 shares