Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $159.88
- Potential payout
- $864.21
- Potential profit
- $704.33
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$293.36
Polymarket Trader
ThirdEstate
0x058cf6af637f1b80cc03705aa6a471f6a6d3b829
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $395.47
- Realized PnL
- -$35.36
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $156.88
- Potential payout
- $402.25
- Potential profit
- $245.37
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$43.12
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $342.83
- Potential profit
- $320.55
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$27.72
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $257.92
- Potential profit
- $221.81
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$63.63
Yes position
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $13.33
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $37.95
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $48.17
- Potential profit
- $41.19
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes 34% 186 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 16% 404 shares
- Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 35% 48.17 shares
- Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes 37.2% 134.37 shares
- Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 14.6% 342.83 shares
- Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 49.7% 402.25 shares
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes 36.9% 108.33 shares
- Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 38.7% 257.92 shares
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes 68.9% 435.51 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 24.8% 404 shares