Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $287.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $212.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Polymarket Trader
0xTengri
@0xTengri
0x05ac64dcf09298cb35ac643183e432b21f276d71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.08K
- Realized PnL
- $4.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $103.47
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $196.54
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$103.53
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $265.51
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $151.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $229.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $70.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $170.97
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $129.03
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$9.03
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $186.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $113.55
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$16.35
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $222.3
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $77.7
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $241.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $58.65
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $223.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $209.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $40.13
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.2%
- Current value
- $165.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $154.34
- Potential payout
- $183.74
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$7.35
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $115.56
- Potential payout
- $140.07
- Potential profit
- $24.51
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $87.95
- Potential payout
- $106.6
- Potential profit
- $18.66
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $46.64
- Potential payout
- $70.13
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Akita Northern Happinets position
Akita Northern Happinets vs. Koshigaya Alphas
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.45
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.57
Yes position
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Koshigaya Alphas position
Akita Northern Happinets vs. Koshigaya Alphas
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Under position
Trungelliti vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 21.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 74.6% 400 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 74.6% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 38% 299.75 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 61% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 300 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 88% 178.19 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 85% 163.87 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 66% 30.48 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82.9% 6.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 72% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.2% 300 shares