Yes position
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.03
- Potential profit
- $252.03
- User PnL
- -$53.12
Polymarket Trader
hkchar6181
0x05ae2cec9960c7176646f606fab1bd9c5f6cc88b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.4
- Realized PnL
- $47.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $222
- User PnL
- -$24.42
Yes position
Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $102.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.58
No position
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $19.94
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $50.06
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$8.76
Y
Yes position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $63.24
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Y
Yes position
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
N
No position
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $26.54
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.85
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Yes position
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $18.92
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
N
No position
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will There is Such a People (ITN) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.63
- Potential profit
- $13.63
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.61
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Yes 71% 22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 62% 50 shares
- Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes 21% 103 shares
- Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 17.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40.2% 38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No 8% 50 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 56% 36.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 44% 11.55 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 30% 21 shares