No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $28.55
- Potential payout
- $29.21
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
transformer4
0x05ae49d646bbb94a4a91aa291fcfc9c8c2785bdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.17
- Realized PnL
- $26.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.47
- Potential payout
- $12.51
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 'Kaiju No. 8' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Vitality position
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. Astralis
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Thunder position
Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Mirra Andreeva position
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
1. FC Union Berlin position
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Formulation Gaming position
Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs LEO (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-04-13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
L1ga Team position
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
GIANTX position
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-13?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 95.5% 5.24 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes 97% 8.25 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 94% 17.02 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 12.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 13?No 99.5% 30.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 13?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.5% 25.89 shares
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva 82% 3.64 shares
- Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana CirsteaSorana Cirstea 98.2% 4.07 shares
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova 95% 4.2 shares
- Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliRafael Jodar 96.4% 9.33 shares