Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45K
- Potential profit
- $22.45K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Polymarket Trader
chronosresearch
0x05b5ddc0d3c204bf44489438dc27f1146658533b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$174.6
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $541
- Potential profit
- $541
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$171.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown 1% 5,000 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp 1% 5,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 18.5% 541 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 9.4% 1,065.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 14?Yes 2% 85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 12?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 6?Yes 2% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 4?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on May 31?No 78% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 31?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on May 31?No 88% 5 shares