Polymarket Trader

0x05c4d6c877616a00a02080471C6dFb831F70003f-1773527482449

0x05c4d6c877616a00a02080471c6dfb831f70003f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.4K
Realized PnL: $11.45K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $65.56K
Potential payout: $66.09K
Potential profit: $528.68
User PnL: $26.63

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $19.84K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$432.61

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$74.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $802.24

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.12

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.29

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.07

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.14

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.03

Yes position

Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.18

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.32

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$414.06

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$972.48

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.16K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.1% 46,085.44 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.5% 13,606.82 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 94.3% 49,999.85 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 98.6% 264.92 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 91% 2,700.98 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?

Yes 0.4% 1,462.94 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?

Yes 1.8% 306.96 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 88% 396.36 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

No 7% 200 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

No 7% 200 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

No 5% 40 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?

Yes 9.2% 111.88 shares