Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$270.66
Polymarket Trader
foreignagent9326
0x05c7a17697196901916c8a83373c51218d2c4421
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.84
- Realized PnL
- $18.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$280.16
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$42.7
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $27.65
- Potential profit
- $22.26
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $12.17
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $23.24
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $15.46
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $19.31
- Potential profit
- $15.35
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$7.72
No position
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Current value
- $14.09
- Potential payout
- $19.11
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $11.49
- Potential payout
- $18.68
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.59
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $18.22
- Potential profit
- $17.04
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.77
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- User PnL
- -$7.38
No position
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $16.4
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.33
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $15.27
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- User PnL
- -$6.18
No position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Current value
- $12.62
- Potential payout
- $14.41
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $14.35
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14.33
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $14.1
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $13.54
- Potential payout
- $14.1
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $11.76
- Potential payout
- $13.92
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Anastasia Zakharova position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.23
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $752.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.23
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $551.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $515.55
Yes position
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $460.6
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.64
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.21
Yes position
Will 8 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.38
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $272.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 97.7% 13.6 shares
- Will the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?No 99.3% 13.32 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 13.75 shares
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 15.89 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?No 99.3% 14.65 shares
- Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No 78% 18.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No 94.1% 15.49 shares
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 15.69 shares
- Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Yes 94.3% 16.84 shares
- Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No 87% 19.18 shares
- Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 98.7% 19.66 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?No 71% 60 shares