Polymarket Trader

vegapunk

@John20951277

0x05d3e8e5b270710ec7c6d1ad4c702eb84536c06a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $5.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $4.91K
User PnL: -$41.66

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: -$414.08

No position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.37K
User PnL: -$150.03

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$357.56

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$88.8

ASTRAL position

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$677

Flames position

Flames vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $817.96
Potential profit: $817.96
User PnL: -$518.73

Lakers position

Magic vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.39
Potential profit: $771.39
User PnL: -$480.59

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $731.21
Potential profit: $731.21
User PnL: -$90.05

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.74
Potential profit: $725.74
User PnL: -$40.02

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.05
Potential profit: $562.05
User PnL: -$10

Quinn position

Adelaide International: Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovics

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $527.52
Potential profit: $527.52
User PnL: -$223.23

No position

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.18
Potential profit: $487.18
User PnL: -$10.86

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.87
Potential profit: $485.87
User PnL: -$17.6

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.07
Potential profit: $477.07
User PnL: -$291.01

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452.78
Potential profit: $452.78
User PnL: -$111.52

Spirit Academy position

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.17
Potential profit: $423.17
User PnL: -$258.95

LNG Esports position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$100

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.01
Potential profit: $404.01
User PnL: -$216.42

Pipsqueak+4 position

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.23
Potential profit: $403.23
User PnL: -$217.78

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396
Potential profit: $396
User PnL: -$224.12

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.71
Potential profit: $392.71
User PnL: -$158.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nevada Wolf Pack position

New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.75

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-13.5)

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.11

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.27

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.94

T1 Academy position

LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.07

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.73

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.38

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.51

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.97

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.88

Damir Dzumhur position

Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.58

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.55

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.02

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.2

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.91

DRX Challengers position

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.86

RUSTEC position

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.85

Under position

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.23

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.83

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.61

Raptors position

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.07

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.12

kONO.ECF position

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.02

UNO MILLE position

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)

Los Angeles Sparks 49% 72.61 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 99.2% 75.1 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

Cleveland Guardians 57% 49.35 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Angels 52% 53.98 shares
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A

Fake do Biru 66% 58.65 shares
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro

Francesco Passaro 55% 9.25 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 58% 75.1 shares
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro

Francesco Passaro 67% 39.16 shares
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Gilles Arnaud Bailly 33.4% 17.32 shares
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Yes 14% 21.14 shares
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg

Max Hans Rehberg 61% 14.31 shares
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?

Yes 96% 21.15 shares