No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $492.75
- Potential payout
- $492.99
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.25
Polymarket Trader
Grinder
0x05de95141b60e2ab16cad2ad939aef41598146a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $265.52
- Potential payout
- $268.47
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.11
- Potential profit
- $260.11
- User PnL
- -$204.51
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.2
- Potential profit
- $250.2
- User PnL
- -$50.04
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $40.42
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $164.25
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.2
- Potential profit
- $177.2
- User PnL
- -$116.12
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.88
- Potential profit
- $157.88
- User PnL
- -$24.91
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $124.5
- Potential payout
- $133.09
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.25
- Potential profit
- $120.25
- User PnL
- -$95
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.91
- Potential profit
- $119.91
- User PnL
- -$112
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $78.54
- Potential payout
- $115.49
- Potential profit
- $36.96
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.63
- Potential profit
- $114.63
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $109.94
- Potential payout
- $110.21
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.06
- Potential profit
- $102.06
- User PnL
- -$99
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $85.03
- Potential payout
- $85.42
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.95
- Potential profit
- $75.95
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.66
- Potential profit
- $57.66
- User PnL
- -$19.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $46.94
- Potential payout
- $47.13
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $5.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.62
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.76
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.69
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.58
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.68
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.84
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.97
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.76
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.58
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96.1% 268.47 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 492.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 87% 47.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 96% 85.42 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 71% 115.49 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 90% 106.67 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 152.38 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 110.21 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.9% 133.09 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 92.99 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 85.37 shares