Polymarket Trader

cledisidiot

0x05e2f520faf6e7b9e8a6f34f723ceb5eea3dea88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.3K
Realized PnL: $9.71K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $51.28K
Potential payout: $56.66K
Potential profit: $5.38K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.09K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $19.85K
Potential payout: $32.81K
Potential profit: $12.96K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$8.43K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $13.68K
Potential payout: $13.75K
Potential profit: $75.64
User PnL: $572.84

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $6.86K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $330.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $236.24

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $5.16K
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $192.69
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$62.17

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $492.22
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $56.23

Yes position

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $403.46
Potential payout: $405.69
Potential profit: $2.23
User PnL: $73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$43.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.85
Potential profit: $53.85
User PnL: -$35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.44

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.03

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $692.88

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.92

No position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.43

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.16

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.04

No position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 5.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 68% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 17.6% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 26% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Up 58% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Up 7% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 38% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 18% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 73% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 97% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 37% 50 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 70% 12.81 shares