Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
Mancha
0x06160312b74b3978c24ab0293ab26a15702aea27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.17
- Realized PnL
- $279.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $333.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $13.93
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $224.17
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $95.01
- Potential profit
- $94.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.23
- Potential profit
- $74.23
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $64.64
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $8.45
- Potential payout
- $51.85
- Potential profit
- $43.4
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $46.55
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.2
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.43
- Potential profit
- $41.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $37.67
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $19.19
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $20.05
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.61
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.59
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 29?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?Yes 45% 4.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?Yes 43% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 28?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?Yes 1.9% 51.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?Yes 11.2% 8.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?Yes 43% 2.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?Yes 7% 14.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?Yes 27% 3.7 shares