Polymarket Trader

cryptohistory

@CryptoHistoryX

0x06303853c41d60fe7af3fc3edabfb695c0d5ae2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.01K
Realized PnL: -$121.88
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.71K
Potential payout: $26.9K
Potential profit: $22.2K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.27K

No position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.25K
Potential payout: $20.43K
Potential profit: $13.18K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $4.45K

Yes position

Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $16.87K
Potential profit: $12.4K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.18K

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $9.01K
Potential profit: $7.43K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$64.91

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will CPJ hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.69

Astros position

Phillies vs. Astros

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yankees position

Yankees vs. Reds

Ends Jul 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Base airdrop in Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$202.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Atlanta Braves 48% 10.42 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 4.99 shares
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Yes 21.9% 977.36 shares
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?

Yes 21.5% 75.58 shares
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?

Yes 20% 12.2 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 18% 2,770 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 44% 266.78 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 41.3% 638.21 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 37.4% 511.01 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 32.8% 300 shares
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Yes 31% 721.2 shares
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Yes 33.4% 911.89 shares