Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x0640...5478
0x0640b08063cb61e6f11e804e98827ebe86cb5478
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US stagflation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Is John McAfee alive?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
TikTok on App Store again before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?Yes 55% 18.18 shares
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.8% 416 shares
- US stagflation in 2025?No 94.8% 1.05 shares
- Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes 97% 10.31 shares
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.9% 419.02 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.8% 421.54 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.9% 423.02 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?No 96% 1.06 shares
- Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Yes 89% 1.12 shares